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MacroSpark Labs

Economic Forecasting Model

Project GDP growth or CPI inflation forward using a linear trend regression fitted to historical data, with an approximate confidence range computed from the residual error.

Indicator

Years to forecast

3 yrs

Fits an ordinary least squares linear trend to the historical GDP Growth (%) series (2014–2025, illustrative approximations of real India history — not a live feed) and extrapolates it forward. The shaded range widens with distance from the last known year, computed from the regression's residual error — not an official RBI/government forecast.

Latest Actual (2025)+6.8%
Forecast (2028)+5.4%
Trend Slope (per year)-0.1%
Trend Fit (R²)0.00

GDP Growth (%) — History & Forecast

-7.4%-1.7%4.0%9.7%15.4%201420172020202320262028
Upper RangeActual + ForecastLower Range

A low R² means the historical series is noisy relative to a straight-line trend (as is typical for GDP growth around shocks like 2020) — treat the forecast as directional, not precise.